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Three countries, three kinds of evidence

· Deric


Our post on endogamy explains why these populations show the signal. This one is the country-by-country audit — and the three are not equally evidenced.

Colombia — the strongest genetic case

  • Chacón-Duque et al. 2018: Colombia had the highest Sephardic component of the five CANDELA countries, ~10% on average, measured haplotype-wise and reported over and above Iberian reference individuals.
  • Antioquia is the endogamous sub-population everyone means: a small founder group, generations of cousin marriage, the paisa surnames recurring.
  • The famous 2000 figure — ~14% of Antioquian Y-haplotypes "could have a Jewish ancestry" — is six-STR resolution from 2000, leans on the Cohen Modal Haplotype (common among non-Jewish Arab populations), and carries the authors' own warning that it needs far more Mediterranean sampling. Quote the 2018 autosomal figure; mention the 2000 Y figure only to explain why it is weak.

Mexico — the strongest documentary case

Mexico's converso history is not inferred, it is tried in court.

  • Luis de Carvajal y de la Cueva, governor of the Nuevo Reino de León (1579), settled the north with kin and associates. He and much of his family were prosecuted by the Mexican Inquisition; his nephew Luis de Carvajal "el Mozo" was burned in 1596.
  • That is why Nuevo León / Monterrey is the region named in every serious discussion of colonial crypto-Judaism in Mexico, and why New Mexico — the far end of the same settlement current, at maximum distance from Mexico City — carries the same tradition.
  • Genetically, Mexico sits at ~4% Sephardic in the 2018 study — below Colombia. Note the asymmetry out loud: the country with the best documents does not have the highest percentage. Documents and percentages measure different things, and that is the whole lesson.

Costa Rica — the strongest genealogy, the weakest genetics

  • The Central Valley is a textbook founder population: small colonial founding group, long endogamy, repeatedly studied as a possible genetic isolate, and exceptionally well documented in Sanabria Martínez, Genealogías de Cartago hasta 1850, which lets a Costa Rican trace real lines to the founding families rather than guess.
  • But Costa Rica is not in CANDELA. The 2018 study did not sample it, and we have found no peer-reviewed converso-ancestry estimate for it using modern haplotype methods.
  • Colombia's 10% does not transfer. What Costa Rica has is strong genealogy, real endogamy, and no published genetic estimate. That gap is a research opportunity, not a finding.

At a glance

Documentary evidence Modern genetic estimate Endogamy
Colombia (Antioquia) moderate ~10% Sephardic (2018, haplotype, vs Iberian controls) very high
Mexico (Nuevo León) strong — Inquisition trials, named individuals ~4% high in places
Costa Rica (Central Valley) strong genealogically none published very high

The point

A reader from any of the three deserves the same answer in different order: Colombia, start with the genetics and go looking for documents. Mexico, the documents already exist — start there. Costa Rica, you have the best family trees in Latin America and nobody has done the genetics yet.